Ekstraklasa · Poland · Stadion Wojska Polskiego
Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa prediction & analysis
Legia Warszawa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Legia Warszawa to win @ 1.84 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 2.1 – 1.0 Raków Częstochowa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Legia Warszawa are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 14% for Raków Częstochowa.
Legia Warszawa have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Raków Częstochowa have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.1 for Legia Warszawa, 1.0 for Raków Częstochowa). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Legia Warszawa or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Legia Warszawa to win at 1.84 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Legia Warszawa to win ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.84 ▲ |
| Double chance | Legia Warszawa or draw ✗ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.23 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.16 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.63 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.43 |
| Half-time result | Legia Warszawa ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa ✗ | 41% | 2.43 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.66 | – |
Form
Legia Warszawa – last 6
| 30 Oct | @ Gornik Zabrze | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Lech Poznan | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Cracovia Krakow | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Wisla Krakow | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Jagiellonia | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Widzew Łódź | 1–1 | D |
Raków Częstochowa – last 6
| 2 Nov | vs Pogon Szczecin | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Oct | @ Motor Lublin | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Wisla Krakow | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | @ Wieczysta Kraków | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs GKS Katowice | 1–4 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Polonia Bytom | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Legia Warszawa and Raków Częstochowa.
More Ekstraklasa predictions
Jagiellonia1
GKS Katowice0
GGBoth teams to score
63%@1.43
✗
FT
Lech Poznan2
Zaglebie Lubin2
1Lech Poznan to win
63%@1.47
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our pick is Legia Warszawa or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Raków Częstochowa 14%.
How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa?
Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Wojska Polskiego.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.