Ekstraklasa · Poland · Chorten Arena
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.43 · Lost ✗
Value bet: GKS Katowice to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Jagiellonia 1.7 – 1.5 GKS Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Jagiellonia and GKS Katowice on our numbers – 43% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Jagiellonia have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. GKS Katowice have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (1.7 for Jagiellonia, 1.5 for GKS Katowice). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
In their last 2 meetings, Jagiellonia have won 1, GKS Katowice have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.43 is close to our fair price of 1.59. For a bigger price, GKS Katowice to win at 3.20 is our value angle (36% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Jagiellonia to win ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | 1.97 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.43 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.11 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.63 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia ✗ | 25% | 3.99 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.44 | – |
Form
Jagiellonia – last 6
| 5 Nov | @ Levski Sofia | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Oct | @ Wieczysta Kraków | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | @ Lechia Gdansk | 6–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Wisla Plock | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | vs Anderlecht | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Zaglebie Lubin | 0–1 | L |
GKS Katowice – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Widzew Łódź | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Oct | @ Górnik Łęczna | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Korona Kielce | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Pogon Szczecin | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Oct | vs Wieczysta Kraków | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | @ Raków Częstochowa | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
| 17 May 2026 | GKS Katowice v Jagiellonia | 2–2 |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Jagiellonia v GKS Katowice | 2–1 |
More Ekstraklasa predictions
Legia Warszawa2
Raków Częstochowa4
1XLegia Warszawa or draw
86%@1.23
✗
FT
Lech Poznan2
Zaglebie Lubin2
1Lech Poznan to win
63%@1.47
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice?
On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and GKS Katowice 36%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice?
Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Chorten Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.