Ekstraklasa · Poland · Stadion Poznan

Lech Poznan

LWLWD
2–2
FT

Zaglebie Lubin

WDWLW

Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Lech Poznan to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.47 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.47Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLech Poznan to win ✗63% · @1.47
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Win chances

Lech Poznan63%fair 1.58 · @1.47
Draw17%fair 5.83 · @4.45
Zaglebie Lubin19%fair 5.16 · @5.50
3.07Expected goals
2.06Lech Poznan xG
1.01Zaglebie Lubin xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Lech Poznan 2.1 – 1.0 Zaglebie Lubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Lech Poznan are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 19% for Zaglebie Lubin.

Lech Poznan have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Zaglebie Lubin have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.

We expect around 3.1 goals (2.1 for Lech Poznan, 1.0 for Zaglebie Lubin). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%), 1–1 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Lech Poznan have won 1, Zaglebie Lubin have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Lech Poznan to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.47 is close to our fair price of 1.58.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLech Poznan to win ✗63%1.581.47
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83%1.211.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.61
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.47
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.641.58
Half-time resultLech Poznan ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan ✗40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Form

Lech Poznan – last 6

LWLWDW
5 Nov@ Benfica1–3L
31 Octvs Wisla Krakow3–1W
28 Oct@ Siarka Tarnobrzeg0–1L
25 Oct@ Legia Warszawa2–1W
22 Octvs Sunderland1–1D
18 Octvs Korona Kielce6–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Zaglebie Lubin – last 6

WDWLWL
2 Novvs Korona Kielce1–0W
23 Oct@ Motor Lublin2–2D
18 Octvs Jagiellonia1–0W
10 Oct@ Cracovia Krakow1–3L
3 Octvs Miedz Legnica1–0W
20 Sepvs Wisla Plock0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Zaglebie Lubin v Lech Poznan0–1

More Ekstraklasa predictions

FT Jagiellonia1 GKS Katowice0 432136 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.43 ✗ FT Legia Warszawa2 Raków Częstochowa4 612514 1XLegia Warszawa or draw 86%@1.23 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Our pick is Lech Poznan to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.47.

Who will win Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin?

On our numbers Lech Poznan have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Zaglebie Lubin 19%.

How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

When is Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poznan.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.