Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Pogon Szczecin to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPogon Szczecin to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Raków Częstochowa take on Pogon Szczecin on Monday 2 November, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow. Raków Częstochowa are 16th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Pogon Szczecin sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Raków Częstochowa's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Motor Lublin 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Pogon Szczecin's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Radomiak Radom 4–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pogon Szczecin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Pogon Szczecin.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Raków Częstochowa and 1.6 for Pogon Szczecin. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Value angle: Pogon Szczecin to win at 2.75 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Pogon Szczecin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raków Częstochowa36%fair 2.75 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.50
Pogon Szczecin41%fair 2.42 · @2.75
3.13Expected goals
1.51Raków Częstochowa xG
1.62Pogon Szczecin xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 1.5 – 1.6 Pogon Szczecin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pogon Szczecin 41%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Pogon Szczecin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin?
Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
