Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Lech Poznan to win @ 1.73 – our chance 67% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLech Poznan to win ✓67% · @1.73
Double chanceLech Poznan or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.23
Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow preview and prediction
The match
Lech Poznan host Wisla Krakow in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadion Poznan. Lech Poznan are 1st with 32 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Wisla Krakow sit 5th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Lech Poznan's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Wisla Krakow's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Raków Częstochowa 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Lech Poznan and 0.9 for Wisla Krakow. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lech Poznan 67%, draw 21%, Wisla Krakow 12%.
Safer route: Lech Poznan or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Lech Poznan to win at 1.73 – 67% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lech Poznan or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lech Poznan 2–0 Wisla Krakow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lech Poznan67%fair 1.50 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.90
Wisla Krakow12%fair 8.43 · @4.00
3.17Expected goals
2.27Lech Poznan xG
0.90Wisla Krakow xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lech Poznan 2.3 – 0.9 Wisla Krakow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznan to win✓
67%
1.50
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Lech Poznan or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Lech Poznan ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.23
–
Form
Lech Poznan – last 6
LWDWLW
28 Oct
@ Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ Legia Warszawa
2–1
W
22 Oct
vs Sunderland
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Korona Kielce
6–1
W
15 Oct
vs Bayer Leverkusen
0–4
L
10 Oct
@ Slask Wroclaw
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Wisla Krakow – last 6
WDLWWW
24 Oct
vs Raków Częstochowa
2–1
W
16 Oct
@ Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Legia Warszawa
0–2
L
2 Oct
@ Piast Gliwice
4–3
W
18 Sep
vs Slask Wroclaw
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Jagiellonia
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lech Poznan and Wisla Krakow.
What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow?
Our pick is Lech Poznan or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow?
On our numbers Lech Poznan have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wisla Krakow 12%.
How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow?
Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 2–0 Wisla Krakow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow?
Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poznan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
