Value bet: Legia Warszawa to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGornik Zabrze to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa preview and prediction
The match
Legia Warszawa travel to Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla in the Ekstraklasa on Friday 30 October (20:30 WAT) to face Gornik Zabrze. Gornik Zabrze are 2nd with 31 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Legia Warszawa sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Gornik Zabrze's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Piast Gliwice 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Legia Warszawa's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Lech Poznan 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Legia Warszawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Gornik Zabrze and 1.3 for Legia Warszawa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gornik Zabrze 43%, draw 22%, Legia Warszawa 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Legia Warszawa to win at 3.30 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gornik Zabrze43%fair 2.30 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Legia Warszawa35%fair 2.89 · @3.30
2.75Expected goals
1.47Gornik Zabrze xG
1.28Legia Warszawa xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Gornik Zabrze 1.5 – 1.3 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gornik Zabrze to win✗
43%
2.30
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gornik Zabrze / FT Gornik Zabrze✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.63
–
Form
Gornik Zabrze – last 6
DDDWLD
27 Oct
@ Piast Gliwice
0–0
D
23 Oct
@ Widzew Łódź
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Piast Gliwice
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Jagiellonia
3–1
W
2 Oct
vs Odra Opole
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Motor Lublin
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Legia Warszawa – last 6
LDWWDW
25 Oct
vs Lech Poznan
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Cracovia Krakow
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Wisla Krakow
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Jagiellonia
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Widzew Łódź
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Motor Lublin
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gornik Zabrze and Legia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa?
On our numbers Gornik Zabrze have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Legia Warszawa 35%.
How many goals will there be in Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa?
Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
