Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin preview and prediction
The match
Zaglebie Lubin travel to Motor Lublin Arena in the Ekstraklasa on Friday 23 October (17:00 WAT) to face Motor Lublin. Motor Lublin are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Motor Lublin's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Slask Wroclaw 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Zaglebie Lubin's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Jagiellonia 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Motor Lublin 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Motor Lublin and 1.0 for Zaglebie Lubin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Motor Lublin 57%, draw 20%, Zaglebie Lubin 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Motor Lublin to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Motor Lublin 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Motor Lublin57%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.30
Zaglebie Lubin23%fair 4.41 · @3.60
2.73Expected goals
1.75Motor Lublin xG
0.98Zaglebie Lubin xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Motor Lublin 1.8 – 1.0 Zaglebie Lubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our pick is Motor Lublin to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
On our numbers Motor Lublin have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Zaglebie Lubin 23%.
How many goals will there be in Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our predicted score is Motor Lublin 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Motor Lublin Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
