Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Wisla Plock to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJagiellonia to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓9% · fair 10.91
Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Jagiellonia take on Wisla Plock on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 14:45 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku. Jagiellonia are 9th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Wisla Plock sit 12th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Jagiellonia's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Anderlecht 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Wisla Plock's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Radomiak Radom 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Wisla Plock arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Jagiellonia and 1.3 for Wisla Plock. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Wisla Plock to win at 3.40 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Jagiellonia 1–1 Wisla Plock. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jagiellonia41%fair 2.42 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Wisla Plock36%fair 2.78 · @3.40
2.75Expected goals
1.43Jagiellonia xG
1.32Wisla Plock xG
63%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia 1.4 – 1.3 Wisla Plock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia to win✓
41%
2.42
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
9%
10.91
–
Form
Jagiellonia – last 6
LLWLLL
22 Oct
vs Anderlecht
0–3
L
18 Oct
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–1
L
15 Oct
vs Ararat-Armenia
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Gornik Zabrze
1–3
L
3 Oct
vs Polonia Warszawa
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Legia Warszawa
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Wisla Plock – last 6
WLWWWD
19 Oct
vs Radomiak Radom
1–0
W
9 Oct
@ Wieczysta Kraków
0–3
L
2 Oct
vs Unia Skierniewice
3–1
W
20 Sep
@ Zaglebie Lubin
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Cracovia Krakow
3–1
W
7 Sep
@ Pogon Szczecin
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia and Wisla Plock.
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?
On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Wisla Plock 36%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 1–1 Wisla Plock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?
Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
