GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Pogon Szczecin to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGKS Katowice to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22
GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin preview and prediction
The match
Pogon Szczecin travel to Stadion miejski w Katowicach in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 17 October (16:30 WAT) to face GKS Katowice. GKS Katowice are 8th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Pogon Szczecin sit 4th on 24 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
GKS Katowice's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Wieczysta Kraków 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Pogon Szczecin's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Korona Kielce 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Pogon Szczecin 1–1 GKS Katowice.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for GKS Katowice and 1.4 for Pogon Szczecin. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Value angle: Pogon Szczecin to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: GKS Katowice 1–1 Pogon Szczecin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GKS Katowice44%fair 2.27 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.50
Pogon Szczecin35%fair 2.82 · @3.25
3.00Expected goals
1.60GKS Katowice xG
1.40Pogon Szczecin xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: GKS Katowice 1.6 – 1.4 Pogon Szczecin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?
On our numbers GKS Katowice have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pogon Szczecin 35%.
How many goals will there be in GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our predicted score is GKS Katowice 1–1 Pogon Szczecin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?
GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion miejski w Katowicach.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
