Value bet: GKS Katowice to win @ 3.00 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRaków Częstochowa to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.12
Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Raków Częstochowa take on GKS Katowice on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie. Raków Częstochowa are 16th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while GKS Katowice sit 8th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Raków Częstochowa's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Polonia Bytom 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
GKS Katowice's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Baník Ostrava 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
GKS Katowice arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 July 2026, finished Raków Częstochowa 1–1 GKS Katowice.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.9 for Raków Częstochowa and 1.7 for GKS Katowice. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 68%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: GKS Katowice to win at 3.00 – 35% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Raków Częstochowa 1–1 GKS Katowice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raków Częstochowa42%fair 2.37 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.50
GKS Katowice35%fair 2.83 · @3.00
3.65Expected goals
1.91Raków Częstochowa xG
1.74GKS Katowice xG
68%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 1.9 – 1.7 GKS Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and GKS Katowice 35%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 1–1 GKS Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice?
Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
