Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Pogon Szczecin take on Korona Kielce on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Florian-Krygier-Stadion. Pogon Szczecin are 4th with 24 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Korona Kielce sit 11th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Pogon Szczecin's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Udinese 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Korona Kielce's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Raków Częstochowa 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Korona Kielce arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 March 2026, finished Pogon Szczecin 2–1 Korona Kielce.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Pogon Szczecin and 1.1 for Korona Kielce. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pogon Szczecin 44%, draw 22%, Korona Kielce 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Korona Kielce. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogon Szczecin44%fair 2.29 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
Korona Kielce35%fair 2.90 · @3.00
2.35Expected goals
1.27Pogon Szczecin xG
1.08Korona Kielce xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Pogon Szczecin 1.3 – 1.1 Korona Kielce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
On our numbers Pogon Szczecin have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Korona Kielce 35%.
How many goals will there be in Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Our predicted score is Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Korona Kielce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Florian-Krygier-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
