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Ekstraklasa · Poland · Suzuki Arena

Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa prediction & analysis

59%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2

Value bet: Raków Częstochowa to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultKorona Kielce to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.09

Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa preview and prediction

The match

Korona Kielce host Raków Częstochowa in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 13:45 (WAT) at Suzuki Arena. Korona Kielce are 11th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Raków Częstochowa sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom three).

Form guide

Korona Kielce's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Gornik Zabrze 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Raków Częstochowa's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Zaglebie Lubin 2–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Korona Kielce arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Korona Kielce.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Korona Kielce and 1.3 for Raków Częstochowa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Korona Kielce 1–1 Raków Częstochowa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Korona Kielce43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Raków Częstochowa35%fair 2.87 · @3.25
2.81Expected goals
1.50Korona Kielce xG
1.31Raków Częstochowa xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Korona Kielce 1.5 – 1.3 Raków Częstochowa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKorona Kielce to win ✓43%2.312.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.681.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Korona Kielce / FT Korona Kielce ✓25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9%11.09–

Form

Korona Kielce – last 6

LWDWWD
15 Sepvs Gornik Zabrze0–2L
12 Sep@ Slask Wroclaw2–1W
5 Sepvs Wisla Krakow1–1D
2 Sep@ Widzew Łódź1–0W
28 Aug@ Wisla Plock2–0W
22 Augvs Motor Lublin1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Raków Częstochowa – last 6

LWLLLD
15 Sepvs Zaglebie Lubin2–3L
11 Sepvs Motor Lublin2–1W
6 Sep@ Lech Poznan0–1L
3 Sepvs Gornik Zabrze1–2L
30 Augvs Jagiellonia2–5L
27 Augvs HNK Hajduk Split2–2D
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 May 2026Raków Częstochowa v Korona Kielce2–0
Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?

On our numbers Korona Kielce have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Raków Częstochowa 35%.

How many goals will there be in Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?

Our predicted score is Korona Kielce 1–1 Raków Częstochowa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?

Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Suzuki Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.