Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Raków Częstochowa to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKorona Kielce to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa preview and prediction
The match
Korona Kielce host Raków Częstochowa in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 13:45 (WAT) at Suzuki Arena. Korona Kielce are 11th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Raków Częstochowa sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Korona Kielce's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Gornik Zabrze 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Raków Częstochowa's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Zaglebie Lubin 2–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Korona Kielce arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Korona Kielce.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Korona Kielce and 1.3 for Raków Częstochowa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Korona Kielce 43%, draw 22%, Raków Częstochowa 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Raków Częstochowa to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Korona Kielce 1–1 Raków Częstochowa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Korona Kielce43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Raków Częstochowa35%fair 2.87 · @3.25
2.81Expected goals
1.50Korona Kielce xG
1.31Raków Częstochowa xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Korona Kielce 1.5 – 1.3 Raków Częstochowa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?
On our numbers Korona Kielce have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Raków Częstochowa 35%.
How many goals will there be in Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our predicted score is Korona Kielce 1–1 Raków Częstochowa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?
Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Suzuki Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.