Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Raków Częstochowa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Raków Częstochowa to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRaków Częstochowa to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceRaków Częstochowa or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.10
Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin preview and prediction
The match
Raków Częstochowa host Motor Lublin in the Ekstraklasa on Friday 11 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow. Raków Częstochowa are 16th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Motor Lublin sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Raków Częstochowa's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Lech Poznan 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Motor Lublin's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Legia Warszawa 2–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Motor Lublin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for Raków Częstochowa and 1.1 for Motor Lublin. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Raków Częstochowa 59%, draw 20%, Motor Lublin 20%.
Safer route: Raków Częstochowa or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Raków Częstochowa to win at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Raków Częstochowa or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Raków Częstochowa 2–1 Motor Lublin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raków Częstochowa59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.75
Motor Lublin20%fair 4.89 · @3.75
3.15Expected goals
2.04Raków Częstochowa xG
1.11Motor Lublin xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 2.0 – 1.1 Motor Lublin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raków Częstochowa to win✓
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Raków Częstochowa or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Raków Częstochowa ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raków Częstochowa / FT Raków Częstochowa✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.10
–
Form
Raków Częstochowa – last 6
LLLDDL
6 Sep
@ Lech Poznan
0–1
L
3 Sep
vs Gornik Zabrze
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Jagiellonia
2–5
L
27 Aug
vs HNK Hajduk Split
2–2
D
20 Aug
@ HNK Hajduk Split
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Cracovia Krakow
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Motor Lublin – last 6
LWLDWL
5 Sep
vs Legia Warszawa
2–3
L
1 Sep
vs Legia Warszawa
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Piast Gliwice
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Korona Kielce
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs GKS Katowice
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Pogon Szczecin
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raków Częstochowa and Motor Lublin.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin?
Our pick is Raków Częstochowa or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Motor Lublin 20%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 2–1 Motor Lublin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin?
Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
