Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce preview and prediction
The match
Korona Kielce travel to Orlen Arena in the Ekstraklasa on Friday 28 August (17:00 WAT) to face Wisla Plock. Wisla Plock are 12th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Korona Kielce sit 11th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Wisla Plock's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to GKS Katowice 0–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Korona Kielce's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Motor Lublin 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Wisla Plock arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Wisla Plock and 1.2 for Korona Kielce. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wisla Plock 38%, draw 23%, Korona Kielce 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Wisla Plock 1–1 Korona Kielce. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wisla Plock38%fair 2.60 · @2.66
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Korona Kielce39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
2.47Expected goals
1.23Wisla Plock xG
1.24Korona Kielce xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Wisla Plock 1.2 – 1.2 Korona Kielce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Korona Kielce to win✓
39%
2.59
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.77 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Korona Kielce / FT Korona Kielce✓
21%
4.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.58
–
Form
Wisla Plock – last 6
LLDWWW
23 Aug
@ GKS Katowice
0–5
L
7 Aug
@ Wisla Krakow
1–2
L
31 Jul
vs Widzew Łódź
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ Raków Częstochowa
2–1
W
22 Jul
vs Pelikan Łowicz
3–2
W
17 Jul
vs ŁKS Łódź
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Korona Kielce – last 6
DWDLLD
22 Aug
vs Motor Lublin
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Widzew Łódź
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Legia Warszawa
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Jagiellonia
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs Nieciecza
0–2
L
14 Jul
vs Stal Rzeszów
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wisla Plock and Korona Kielce.
What is the prediction for Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce?
On our numbers Wisla Plock have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Korona Kielce 39%.
How many goals will there be in Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce?
Our predicted score is Wisla Plock 1–1 Korona Kielce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce?
Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Orlen Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
