Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Korona Kielce to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWidzew Łódź to win ✗49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.56
Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce preview and prediction
The match
Widzew Łódź host Korona Kielce in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT). Widzew Łódź are 13th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Korona Kielce sit 11th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Widzew Łódź's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Jagiellonia 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Korona Kielce's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Legia Warszawa 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Widzew Łódź arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Widzew Łódź and 0.9 for Korona Kielce. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Widzew Łódź 49%, draw 22%, Korona Kielce 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Korona Kielce to win at 3.80 – 29% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Widzew Łódź 1–0 Korona Kielce. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Widzew Łódź49%fair 2.05 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Korona Kielce29%fair 3.43 · @3.80
2.10Expected goals
1.24Widzew Łódź xG
0.86Korona Kielce xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Widzew Łódź 1.2 – 0.9 Korona Kielce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Widzew Łódź to win✗
49%
2.05
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Widzew Łódź / FT Widzew Łódź✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.56
–
Form
Widzew Łódź – last 6
WDDWDW
9 Aug
@ Jagiellonia
2–0
W
31 Jul
@ Wisla Plock
0–0
D
26 Jul
vs Motor Lublin
2–2
D
19 Jul
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Dunajska Streda
0–0
D
27 Jun
vs Stal Rzeszów
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Korona Kielce – last 6
DLLDDW
8 Aug
vs Legia Warszawa
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Jagiellonia
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs Nieciecza
0–2
L
14 Jul
vs Stal Rzeszów
0–0
D
9 Jul
vs Omonia Nicosia
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Zemplín Michalovce
4–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Widzew Łódź and Korona Kielce.
What is the prediction for Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce?
On our numbers Widzew Łódź have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Korona Kielce 29%.
How many goals will there be in Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce?
Our predicted score is Widzew Łódź 1–0 Korona Kielce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce?
Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
