Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLegia Warszawa to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.51
Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin preview and prediction
The match
Legia Warszawa host Zaglebie Lubin in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 13:45 (WAT) at Stadion Wojska Polskiego w Warszawie. Legia Warszawa are 3rd with 24 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th on 23 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Legia Warszawa's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Pogon Szczecin 1–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Zaglebie Lubin's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Piast Gliwice 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Legia Warszawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Legia Warszawa and 0.6 for Zaglebie Lubin. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Legia Warszawa 62%, draw 18%, Zaglebie Lubin 19%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.29, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Legia Warszawa62%fair 1.60 · @1.57
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @3.95
Zaglebie Lubin19%fair 5.16 · @5.60
2.10Expected goals
1.48Legia Warszawa xG
0.62Zaglebie Lubin xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 1.5 – 0.6 Zaglebie Lubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Zaglebie Lubin 19%.
How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Wojska Polskiego w Warszawie.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
