Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRaków Częstochowa to win ✗62% · @1.57
Double chanceRaków Częstochowa or draw ✗87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.36
Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock preview and prediction
The match
The Ekstraklasa sees Raków Częstochowa take on Wisla Plock on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 13:45 (WAT) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie. Raków Częstochowa are 16th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Wisla Plock sit 12th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Raków Częstochowa's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Valletta FC 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Wisla Plock's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Pelikan Łowicz 3–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Wisla Plock arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Raków Częstochowa and 0.8 for Wisla Plock. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Raków Częstochowa 1–0 Wisla Plock. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raków Częstochowa62%fair 1.62 · @1.57
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.85
Wisla Plock13%fair 7.42 · @5.90
2.61Expected goals
1.85Raków Częstochowa xG
0.76Wisla Plock xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 1.8 – 0.8 Wisla Plock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raków Częstochowa to win✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Double chance
Raków Częstochowa or draw✗
87%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Raków Częstochowa ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raków Częstochowa / FT Raków Częstochowa✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.36
–
Form
Raków Częstochowa – last 6
WDLLLW
23 Jul
vs Valletta FC
3–1
W
16 Jul
vs GKS Katowice
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ PSV Eindhoven
2–3
L
8 Jul
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
1–2
L
8 Jul
@ Zulte Waregem
3–4
L
4 Jul
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Wisla Plock – last 6
WWWDWW
22 Jul
vs Pelikan Łowicz
3–2
W
17 Jul
vs ŁKS Łódź
3–0
W
14 Jul
vs Bohemians 1905
2–0
W
11 Jul
vs Baník Ostrava
2–2
D
4 Jul
vs Polonia Warszawa
3–0
W
27 Jun
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raków Częstochowa and Wisla Plock.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Wisla Plock 13%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 1–0 Wisla Plock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?
Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
