Value bet: Legia Warszawa to win @ 2.36 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLegia Warszawa to win ✓47% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 9.02
Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa preview and prediction
The match
Legia Warszawa travel to Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera in the Ekstraklasa on Friday 24 July (19:30 WAT) to face Pogon Szczecin. Pogon Szczecin are 4th with 24 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Legia Warszawa sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pogon Szczecin's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Sturm Graz 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Legia Warszawa's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Aris 0–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Legia Warszawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Pogon Szczecin 0–2 Legia Warszawa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Pogon Szczecin and 1.4 for Legia Warszawa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pogon Szczecin 31%, draw 22%, Legia Warszawa 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Legia Warszawa to win at 2.36 – 47% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogon Szczecin31%fair 3.18 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Legia Warszawa47%fair 2.14 · @2.36
2.57Expected goals
1.12Pogon Szczecin xG
1.45Legia Warszawa xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Pogon Szczecin 1.1 – 1.4 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
On our numbers Pogon Szczecin have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Legia Warszawa 47%.
How many goals will there be in Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
