Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.30 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIK brage to win ✗63% · @1.55
Double chanceIK brage or draw ✗86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.07
Karlberg vs IK brage preview and prediction
The match
IK brage travel to face Karlberg in the Svenska Cupen on Tuesday 18 August (17:30 WAT).
Form guide
Karlberg's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Stocksund 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
IK brage's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Orebro SK 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Karlberg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.5 for Karlberg and 1.5 for IK brage. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 54% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Karlberg 14%, draw 23%, IK brage 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.30 – 54% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.37, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Karlberg 0–1 IK brage. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karlberg14%fair 7.15 · @4.80
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @4.00
IK brage63%fair 1.58 · @1.55
2.04Expected goals
0.52Karlberg xG
1.52IK brage xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–215%
0–013%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Karlberg 0.5 – 1.5 IK brage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IK brage to win✗
63%
1.58
1.55
Double chance
IK brage or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
2.30 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.53 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IK brage / FT IK brage✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
5.07
–
Form
Karlberg – last 6
WLWWWW
15 Aug
vs Stocksund
2–0
W
7 Aug
@ Enköping
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Stocksund
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ AFC Eskilstuna
2–1
W
21 Jul
@ Sollentuna
2–1
W
24 Jun
vs Piteå
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
IK brage – last 6
DLWDLL
14 Aug
vs Orebro SK
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ IFK Norrkoping
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Landskrona BoIS
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ IFK Varnamo
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Osters IF
2–3
L
26 Jun
vs Falkenbergs FF
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karlberg and IK brage.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Karlberg vs IK brage?
On our numbers Karlberg have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and IK brage 63%.
How many goals will there be in Karlberg vs IK brage?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karlberg vs IK brage?
Our predicted score is Karlberg 0–1 IK brage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Karlberg vs IK brage?
Karlberg vs IK brage (Svenska Cupen) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Böljan0
Varbergs BoIS FC5
Sollentuna1
Orebro SK4
AFC Eskilstuna3
Oddevold3
Västra Frölunda0
IF Elfsborg4
IFK Skövde1
Falkenbergs FF1