Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUCV Moquegua to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.80
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.62
FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua preview and prediction
The match
The sees FBC Melgar take on UCV Moquegua on Monday 29 June, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
FBC Melgar's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Tacna Heroica 2–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
UCV Moquegua's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Bentín Tacna Heroica 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FBC Melgar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 February 2026, finished FBC Melgar 4–0 UCV Moquegua.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.8 for FBC Melgar and 2.1 for UCV Moquegua. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FBC Melgar 1–2 UCV Moquegua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FBC Melgar34%fair 2.91 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
UCV Moquegua43%fair 2.32 · @2.50
3.89Expected goals
1.83FBC Melgar xG
2.06UCV Moquegua xG
57%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: FBC Melgar 1.8 – 2.1 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers FBC Melgar have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UCV Moquegua 43%.
How many goals will there be in FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is FBC Melgar 1–2 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua?
FBC Melgar vs UCV Moquegua () kicks off on Monday 29 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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