Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Alianza Atletico to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Atletico to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.43
Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico preview and prediction
The match
Alianza Lima host Alianza Atletico in the on Sunday 28 June, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Form guide
Alianza Lima's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Carlos A. Mannucci 1–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alianza Atletico's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Cesar Vallejo 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Alianza Atletico 0–0 Alianza Lima.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Alianza Lima and 1.6 for Alianza Atletico. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 43%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza Lima 19%, draw 21%, Alianza Atletico 61%.
Safer route: Alianza Atletico or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alianza Atletico to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Alianza Lima 0–1 Alianza Atletico. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Lima19%fair 5.40 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.90
Alianza Atletico61%fair 1.64 · @1.67
2.34Expected goals
0.72Alianza Lima xG
1.62Alianza Atletico xG
43%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 0.7 – 1.6 Alianza Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
Our pick is Alianza Atletico to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alianza Atletico 61%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 0–1 Alianza Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico () kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cesar Vallejo2
Carlos A. Mannucci3