Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Sporting Cristal to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Cristal to win ✓67% · @1.62
Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✓86% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.17
Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio preview and prediction
The match
The sees Sporting Cristal take on Union Comercio on Saturday 27 June, kicking off at 21:15 (WAT) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Form guide
Sporting Cristal's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Estudiantil CNI 2–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Union Comercio's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Comerciantes 0–1 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Union Comercio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Sporting Cristal and 0.8 for Union Comercio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Cristal 67%, draw 19%, Union Comercio 14%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sporting Cristal to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sporting Cristal 2–0 Union Comercio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Cristal67%fair 1.50 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.80
Union Comercio14%fair 7.00 · @4.20
2.82Expected goals
2.03Sporting Cristal xG
0.79Union Comercio xG
46%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 2.0 – 0.8 Union Comercio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Cristal to win✓
67%
1.50
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Sporting Cristal or draw✓
86%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Sporting Cristal ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
12%
8.17
–
Form
Sporting Cristal – last 6
WDLLWL
21 Jun
@ Estudiantil CNI
2–1
W
13 Jun
@ Comerciantes
1–1
D
31 May
@ Cienciano
2–3
L
28 May
@ Cerro Porteno
0–2
L
24 May
vs ADT
2–1
W
21 May
@ Junior
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Union Comercio – last 5
LWWDW
20 Jun
vs Comerciantes
0–1
L
15 Jun
@ Estudiantil CNI
3–1
W
31 May
vs Deportiva Agropecuaria
1–0
W
17 May
vs Deportivo Llacuabamba
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ San Marcos
3–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Cristal and Union Comercio.
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio?
Our pick is Sporting Cristal to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio?
On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Union Comercio 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio?
Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 2–0 Union Comercio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio?
Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio () kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Universitario1
Atletico Grau1
Comerciantes Unidos0
Juan Pablo II College0