Value bet: Alianza Universidad to win @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Universidad to win ✗60% · @1.77
Double chanceAlianza Universidad or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.60
Alianza Universidad vs Sport Huancayo preview and prediction
The match
Alianza Universidad host Sport Huancayo in the on Sunday 14 June, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Estadio Heraclio Tapia.
Form guide
Sport Huancayo's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Universitario 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Alianza Universidad and 0.9 for Sport Huancayo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza Universidad 60%, draw 21%, Sport Huancayo 19%.
Safer route: Alianza Universidad or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Alianza Universidad to win at 1.77 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Alianza Universidad 2–0 Sport Huancayo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Universidad60%fair 1.65 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.60
Sport Huancayo19%fair 5.32 · @3.90
2.77Expected goals
1.86Alianza Universidad xG
0.91Sport Huancayo xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Alianza Universidad 1.9 – 0.9 Sport Huancayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Universidad to win✗
60%
1.65
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Alianza Universidad or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Half-time result
Alianza Universidad ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Universidad / FT Alianza Universidad✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.60
–
Form
Alianza Universidad – last 2
LL
31 May
vs Deportivo Binacional
1–2
L
4 May
vs Santos
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sport Huancayo – last 6
LDWDDL
31 May
@ Universitario
1–2
L
24 May
vs Cienciano
2–2
D
18 Apr
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ UTC Cajamarca
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Comerciantes Unidos
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ Sport Boys
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Universidad and Sport Huancayo.
What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad vs Sport Huancayo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Alianza Universidad vs Sport Huancayo?
On our numbers Alianza Universidad have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sport Huancayo 19%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Universidad vs Sport Huancayo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Universidad vs Sport Huancayo?
Our predicted score is Alianza Universidad 2–0 Sport Huancayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alianza Universidad vs Sport Huancayo?
Alianza Universidad vs Sport Huancayo () kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heraclio Tapia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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