Le Havre travel to Stade de l'Aube in the Ligue 1 on Friday 20 November (20:45 WAT) to face Estac Troyes. Estac Troyes are 17th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Le Havre sit 18th on 2 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Estac Troyes's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Paris Saint Germain 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Le Havre's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Lorient 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Estac Troyes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Estac Troyes and 1.2 for Le Havre. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estac Troyes 45%, draw 24%, Le Havre 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Prediction
The Footrivo pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Havre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estac Troyes45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.40
Le Havre31%fair 3.26 · @3.30
2.64Expected goals
1.48Estac Troyes xG
1.16Le Havre xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Estac Troyes 1.5 – 1.2 Le Havre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Estac Troyes
Le Havre
Attack vs Ligue 1 average
-37%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+34%
Our expected goals here
1.39
1.07
Our own ratings from every Ligue 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estac Troyes to win
45%
2.23
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.63
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estac Troyes / FT Estac Troyes
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.01
–
Form
Estac Troyes – last 6
LWDLLL
7 Nov
@ Paris Saint Germain
0–1
L
31 Oct
vs Le Mans
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Toulouse
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Lens
1–3
L
11 Oct
vs Marseille
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Angers
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Le Havre – last 6
LLLLLL
8 Nov
vs Lorient
0–2
L
30 Oct
vs Paris Saint Germain
1–5
L
25 Oct
@ Marseille
3–4
L
18 Oct
vs Auxerre
1–3
L
10 Oct
@ Lille
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Toulouse
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estac Troyes and Le Havre.
What is the prediction for Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?
On our numbers Estac Troyes have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Le Havre 31%.
How many goals will there be in Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?
Our predicted score is Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Havre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?
Estac Troyes vs Le Havre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 20 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de l'Aube.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
