Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultToulouse to win ✓45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Toulouse vs Strasbourg preview and prediction
The match
Strasbourg travel to Stadium de Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on Friday 6 November (20:45 WAT) to face Toulouse. Toulouse are 12th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Strasbourg sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Toulouse's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Marseille 0–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Strasbourg's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Auxerre 5–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Toulouse arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Toulouse and 1.5 for Strasbourg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Toulouse 1–1 Strasbourg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toulouse45%fair 2.20 · @2.20
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.70
Strasbourg34%fair 2.92 · @3.00
3.18Expected goals
1.72Toulouse xG
1.46Strasbourg xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Toulouse 1.7 – 1.5 Strasbourg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toulouse to win✓
45%
2.20
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toulouse / FT Toulouse✓
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.13
–
Form
Toulouse – last 6
LDWDWD
1 Nov
@ Marseille
0–2
L
24 Oct
vs Estac Troyes
0–0
D
16 Oct
@ Le Mans
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ Monaco
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Le Havre
3–2
W
12 Sep
@ Lorient
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Strasbourg – last 6
WLLLLD
1 Nov
vs Auxerre
5–1
W
25 Oct
@ Rennes
0–3
L
17 Oct
vs Paris Saint Germain
1–3
L
11 Oct
@ Nice
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Paris FC
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Monaco
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toulouse and Strasbourg.
What is the prediction for Toulouse vs Strasbourg?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Toulouse vs Strasbourg?
On our numbers Toulouse have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Strasbourg 34%.
How many goals will there be in Toulouse vs Strasbourg?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Strasbourg?
Our predicted score is Toulouse 1–1 Strasbourg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Toulouse vs Strasbourg?
Toulouse vs Strasbourg (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium de Toulouse.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
