Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLille to win ✓42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓9% · fair 11.22
Lille vs Lens preview and prediction
The match
Lille host Lens in the Ligue 1 on Friday 30 October, with kick-off at 21:05 (WAT) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Lille are 2nd with 21 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Lens sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lille's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Monaco 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Lens's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Paris FC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Lille and 1.3 for Lens. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lille 42%, draw 24%, Lens 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Lille 1–1 Lens. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lille42%fair 2.41 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Lens35%fair 2.88 · @2.62
2.81Expected goals
1.48Lille xG
1.33Lens xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lille 1.5 – 1.3 Lens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win✓
42%
2.41
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
9%
11.22
–
Form
Lille – last 6
DLDLWW
25 Oct
@ Monaco
1–1
D
21 Oct
vs Galatasaray
2–4
L
17 Oct
vs Stade Brestois 29
1–1
D
13 Oct
@ Arsenal
0–3
L
10 Oct
vs Le Havre
1–0
W
2 Oct
vs Zulte Waregem
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lens – last 6
WLWLWL
24 Oct
vs Paris FC
2–1
W
21 Oct
@ Club Brugge KV
0–3
L
17 Oct
@ Estac Troyes
3–1
W
13 Oct
vs Sporting CP
0–2
L
9 Oct
vs Lyon
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Monaco
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lille and Lens.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Lille vs Lens?
On our numbers Lille have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lens 35%.
How many goals will there be in Lille vs Lens?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Lens?
Our predicted score is Lille 1–1 Lens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lille vs Lens?
Lille vs Lens (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 21:05 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
