Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.47
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon preview and prediction
The match
Paris Saint Germain host Lyon in the Ligue 1 on Monday 26 October, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Parc des Princes. Paris Saint Germain are 1st with 23 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Lyon sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Paris Saint Germain's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Barcelona 4–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Lyon's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to 1899 Hoffenheim 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Paris Saint Germain arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Paris Saint Germain and 0.8 for Lyon. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paris Saint Germain 65%, draw 23%, Lyon 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paris Saint Germain to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Lyon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paris Saint Germain65%fair 1.53 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @4.80
Lyon12%fair 8.32 · @6.00
2.93Expected goals
2.10Paris Saint Germain xG
0.83Lyon xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Paris Saint Germain 2.1 – 0.8 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain to win✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Double chance
Paris Saint Germain or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
12%
8.47
–
Form
Paris Saint Germain – last 6
WWWWWW
20 Oct
vs Barcelona
4–2
W
17 Oct
@ Strasbourg
3–1
W
14 Oct
@ Manchester City
4–2
W
10 Oct
vs Le Mans
3–1
W
20 Sep
@ Marseille
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Stade Brestois 29
1–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lyon – last 6
LWWLWW
22 Oct
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
0–3
L
18 Oct
vs Nice
2–1
W
15 Oct
vs Crystal Palace
3–2
W
9 Oct
@ Lens
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Rennes
4–0
W
16 Sep
@ Anderlecht
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paris Saint Germain and Lyon.
What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
Our pick is Paris Saint Germain to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
On our numbers Paris Saint Germain have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lyon 12%.
How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon (Ligue 1) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Parc des Princes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
