Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarseille to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Estac Troyes vs Marseille preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Estac Troyes take on Marseille on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade de l'Aube. Estac Troyes are 17th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Marseille sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Estac Troyes's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Angers 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Marseille's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Paris Saint Germain 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Estac Troyes and 2.0 for Marseille. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 60%.
Our pre-match pick was Marseille to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estac Troyes 1–2 Marseille. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estac Troyes21%fair 4.81 · @3.60
Draw16%fair 6.08 · @3.60
Marseille63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
3.00Expected goals
1.00Estac Troyes xG
2.00Marseille xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–210%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Estac Troyes 1.0 – 2.0 Marseille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marseille to win✓
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Marseille ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marseille / FT Marseille✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.04
–
Form
Estac Troyes – last 6
LLLWDD
19 Sep
@ Angers
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Lille
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Strasbourg
2–6
L
29 Aug
@ Lorient
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Paris FC
0–0
D
14 Aug
vs Panetolikos
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Marseille – last 6
LLLLLW
20 Sep
vs Paris Saint Germain
1–2
L
17 Sep
@ Beşiktaş
1–4
L
11 Sep
@ Rennes
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Paris FC
2–3
L
30 Aug
@ Monaco
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs Strasbourg
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estac Troyes and Marseille.
What is the prediction for Estac Troyes vs Marseille?
Our pick is Marseille to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Marseille?
On our numbers Estac Troyes have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Marseille 63%.
How many goals will there be in Estac Troyes vs Marseille?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estac Troyes vs Marseille?
Our predicted score is Estac Troyes 1–2 Marseille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Estac Troyes vs Marseille?
Estac Troyes vs Marseille (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de l'Aube.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
