Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLens to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.74
Lens vs Lyon preview and prediction
The match
Lens host Lyon in the Ligue 1 on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Lens are 11th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Lyon sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Lens's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Monaco 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Lyon's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Rennes 4–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Lyon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Lyon 0–4 Lens.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Lens and 1.5 for Lyon. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lens 40%, draw 23%, Lyon 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Lens 1–1 Lyon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lens40%fair 2.52 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.50
Lyon38%fair 2.65 · @2.75
3.00Expected goals
1.52Lens xG
1.48Lyon xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lens 1.5 – 1.5 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lens vs Lyon?
On our numbers Lens have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lyon 38%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Lyon?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is Lens 1–1 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Lyon?
Lens vs Lyon (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
