The Ligue 1 sees Nice take on Lille on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 16:15 (WAT) at Allianz Riviera. Nice are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Lille sit 2nd on 21 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Nice's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Auxerre 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lille's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Estac Troyes 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lille arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.7 for Nice and 1.2 for Lille. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nice 27%, draw 22%, Lille 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lille to win – a 51% chance at odds of 2.00. Predicted score: Nice 0–1 Lille. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nice27%fair 3.66 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Lille51%fair 1.96 · @2.00
1.88Expected goals
0.72Nice xG
1.16Lille xG
53%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–015%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nice 0.7 – 1.2 Lille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win✗
51%
1.96
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.64
–
Form
Nice – last 6
LDLDDD
12 Sep
@ Auxerre
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Le Mans
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Paris FC
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Lorient
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Hull City
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Cagliari
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Lille – last 6
WLWDWD
13 Sep
vs Estac Troyes
2–0
W
8 Sep
vs Real Betis
2–3
L
3 Sep
@ Toulouse
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Angers
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Everton
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nice and Lille.
Our pick is Lille to win with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Nice vs Lille?
On our numbers Nice have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lille 51%.
How many goals will there be in Nice vs Lille?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nice vs Lille?
Our predicted score is Nice 0–1 Lille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Nice vs Lille?
Nice vs Lille (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Riviera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
