Value bet: Marseille to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRennes to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.71
Rennes vs Marseille preview and prediction
The match
Marseille travel to Roazhon Park in the Ligue 1 on Friday 11 September (19:45 WAT) to face Rennes. Rennes are 8th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Marseille sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rennes's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Angers 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Marseille's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Paris FC 2–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Marseille 3–1 Rennes.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.0 for Rennes and 1.9 for Marseille. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rennes 42%, draw 21%, Marseille 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Marseille to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.42, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rennes 1–1 Marseille. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rennes42%fair 2.39 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.70
Marseille37%fair 2.72 · @3.00
3.83Expected goals
1.98Rennes xG
1.85Marseille xG
70%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Rennes 2.0 – 1.9 Marseille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Rennes vs Marseille?
On our numbers Rennes have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Marseille 37%.
How many goals will there be in Rennes vs Marseille?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rennes vs Marseille?
Our predicted score is Rennes 1–1 Marseille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Rennes vs Marseille?
Rennes vs Marseille (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Roazhon Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
