Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
1
Value bet: Estac Troyes to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstac Troyes to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.50
Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Estac Troyes take on Strasbourg on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Estac Troyes are 17th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Strasbourg sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Estac Troyes's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Lorient 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Strasbourg's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Lens 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Estac Troyes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Estac Troyes and 1.2 for Strasbourg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Estac Troyes to win at 2.90 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estac Troyes 1–1 Strasbourg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estac Troyes40%fair 2.53 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.25
Strasbourg37%fair 2.74 · @2.30
2.50Expected goals
1.28Estac Troyes xG
1.22Strasbourg xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Estac Troyes 1.3 – 1.2 Strasbourg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estac Troyes to win✗
40%
2.53
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estac Troyes / FT Estac Troyes✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.50
–
Form
Estac Troyes – last 6
WDDDWW
29 Aug
@ Lorient
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Paris FC
0–0
D
14 Aug
vs Panetolikos
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Auxerre
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Grenoble
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs RED Star FC 93
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Strasbourg – last 6
WLDLLL
29 Aug
vs Lens
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Marseille
0–4
L
16 Aug
@ Newcastle
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ SC Freiburg
0–2
L
4 Aug
vs SV Elversberg
2–5
L
1 Aug
@ Brighton
3–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estac Troyes and Strasbourg.
What is the prediction for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
On our numbers Estac Troyes have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Strasbourg 37%.
How many goals will there be in Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
Our predicted score is Estac Troyes 1–1 Strasbourg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
