Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Saint Etienne to win @ 1.91 – our chance 65% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaint Etienne to win ✗65% · @1.91
Double chanceSaint Etienne or draw ✗87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.68
Guingamp vs Saint Etienne preview and prediction
The match
Guingamp host Saint Etienne in the Ligue 2 on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stade de Roudourou. Guingamp are 11th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Saint Etienne sit 1st on 28 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Guingamp's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Clermont Foot 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Saint Etienne's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Nantes 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Saint Etienne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Guingamp and 2.1 for Saint Etienne. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guingamp 13%, draw 22%, Saint Etienne 65%.
Safer route: Saint Etienne or draw (87%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Saint Etienne to win at 1.91 – 65% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Saint Etienne or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Guingamp 0–2 Saint Etienne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guingamp13%fair 7.81 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.50
Saint Etienne65%fair 1.54 · @1.91
2.95Expected goals
0.85Guingamp xG
2.10Saint Etienne xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Guingamp 0.9 – 2.1 Saint Etienne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win✗
65%
1.54
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Saint Etienne or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Saint Etienne ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.68
–
Form
Guingamp – last 6
WLLLWD
23 Oct
@ Clermont Foot
2–0
W
16 Oct
vs PAU
1–2
L
9 Oct
@ Nancy
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs RED Star FC 93
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Annecy
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Reims
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Saint Etienne – last 6
WWWWDL
24 Oct
vs Nantes
1–0
W
17 Oct
@ RED Star FC 93
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Rodez
2–0
W
2 Oct
vs FC Sion
5–1
W
19 Sep
@ Metz
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Dunkerque
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guingamp and Saint Etienne.
What is the prediction for Guingamp vs Saint Etienne?
Our pick is Saint Etienne or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Guingamp vs Saint Etienne?
On our numbers Guingamp have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Saint Etienne 65%.
How many goals will there be in Guingamp vs Saint Etienne?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guingamp vs Saint Etienne?
Our predicted score is Guingamp 0–2 Saint Etienne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Guingamp vs Saint Etienne?
Guingamp vs Saint Etienne (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Roudourou.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
