Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Saint Etienne to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaint Etienne to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceSaint Etienne or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Saint Etienne vs Nantes preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees Saint Etienne take on Nantes on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard. Saint Etienne are 1st with 28 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Nantes sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Saint Etienne's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat RED Star FC 93 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Nantes's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Dunkerque 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Saint Etienne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Saint Etienne and 1.0 for Nantes. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Saint Etienne 64%, draw 19%, Nantes 17%.
Safer route: Saint Etienne or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Saint Etienne to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Saint Etienne or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Saint Etienne 2–1 Nantes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Saint Etienne64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.50
Nantes17%fair 6.01 · @4.40
3.17Expected goals
2.17Saint Etienne xG
1.00Nantes xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Saint Etienne 2.2 – 1.0 Nantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win✓
64%
1.56
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Saint Etienne or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Saint Etienne ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Saint Etienne – last 6
WWWDLW
17 Oct
@ RED Star FC 93
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Rodez
2–0
W
2 Oct
vs FC Sion
5–1
W
19 Sep
@ Metz
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Dunkerque
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Montpellier
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nantes – last 6
LDWLWD
17 Oct
vs Dunkerque
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Reims
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Boulogne
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Sochaux
0–1
L
7 Sep
vs Nancy
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Guingamp
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saint Etienne and Nantes.
What is the prediction for Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
Our pick is Saint Etienne or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
On our numbers Saint Etienne have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Nantes 17%.
How many goals will there be in Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
Our predicted score is Saint Etienne 2–1 Nantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
Saint Etienne vs Nantes (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
