Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Metz to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetz to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceMetz or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.40
Metz vs Sochaux preview and prediction
The match
Sochaux travel to Stade Saint-Symphorien in the Ligue 2 on Saturday 17 October (13:00 WAT) to face Metz. Metz are 7th with 17 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Sochaux sit 16th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Metz's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Dijon 2–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sochaux's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Boulogne 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sochaux arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 July 2026, finished Metz 4–1 Sochaux.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Metz and 0.6 for Sochaux. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Metz 64%, draw 20%, Sochaux 16%.
Safer route: Metz or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Metz to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Metz or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Metz 1–0 Sochaux. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metz64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.50
Sochaux16%fair 6.24 · @4.40
2.13Expected goals
1.56Metz xG
0.57Sochaux xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Metz 1.6 – 0.6 Sochaux expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Metz or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Metz vs Sochaux?
On our numbers Metz have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sochaux 16%.
How many goals will there be in Metz vs Sochaux?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metz vs Sochaux?
Our predicted score is Metz 1–0 Sochaux, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Metz vs Sochaux?
Metz vs Sochaux (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
