Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: PAU to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuingamp to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.41
Guingamp vs PAU preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees Guingamp take on PAU on Friday 16 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stade de Roudourou. Guingamp are 11th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while PAU sit 5th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Guingamp's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Nancy 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
PAU's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Laval 3–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished PAU 2–1 Guingamp.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Guingamp and 1.2 for PAU. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guingamp 40%, draw 24%, PAU 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: PAU to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Guingamp 1–1 PAU. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guingamp40%fair 2.49 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
PAU36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.29Guingamp xG
1.21PAU xG
60%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Guingamp 1.3 – 1.2 PAU expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Guingamp vs PAU?
On our numbers Guingamp have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and PAU 36%.
How many goals will there be in Guingamp vs PAU?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guingamp vs PAU?
Our predicted score is Guingamp 1–1 PAU, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Guingamp vs PAU?
Guingamp vs PAU (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Roudourou.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
