The Ligue 2 sees Saint Etienne take on Rodez on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard. Saint Etienne are 1st with 28 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Rodez sit 13th on 13 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Saint Etienne's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat FC Sion 5–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Rodez's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Inter Club d'Escaldes 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Saint Etienne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.9 for Saint Etienne and 1.2 for Rodez. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Saint Etienne 71%, draw 19%, Rodez 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Saint Etienne to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Saint Etienne 2–1 Rodez. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Saint Etienne71%fair 1.41 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.60
Rodez10%fair 10.09 · @7.00
4.07Expected goals
2.91Saint Etienne xG
1.16Rodez xG
65%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
4–16%
1–16%
From our goals model: Saint Etienne 2.9 – 1.2 Rodez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Double chance
Saint Etienne or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Saint Etienne ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne✓
51%
1.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.92
–
Form
Saint Etienne – last 6
WDLWWW
2 Oct
vs FC Sion
5–1
W
19 Sep
@ Metz
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Dunkerque
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Montpellier
3–1
W
31 Aug
@ Dijon
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs Grenoble
4–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Rodez – last 6
WLLLDW
3 Oct
vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
2–0
W
18 Sep
vs Nancy
3–4
L
11 Sep
vs Grenoble
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Metz
1–4
L
28 Aug
vs PAU
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Nantes
5–2
W
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saint Etienne and Rodez.
What is the prediction for Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
Our pick is Saint Etienne to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
On our numbers Saint Etienne have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rodez 10%.
How many goals will there be in Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
Our predicted score is Saint Etienne 2–1 Rodez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
Saint Etienne vs Rodez (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
