Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Sochaux to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPAU to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.83
PAU vs Sochaux preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees PAU take on Sochaux on Friday 4 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Nouste Camp. PAU are 5th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Sochaux sit 16th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
PAU's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Rodez 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sochaux's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Clermont Foot 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for PAU and 0.9 for Sochaux. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: PAU 40%, draw 24%, Sochaux 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Sochaux to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: PAU 1–0 Sochaux. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PAU40%fair 2.49 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Sochaux36%fair 2.82 · @3.20
1.93Expected goals
1.01PAU xG
0.92Sochaux xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: PAU 1.0 – 0.9 Sochaux expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAU to win✗
40%
2.49
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.83
–
Form
PAU – last 6
DLWLLL
28 Aug
@ Rodez
2–2
D
21 Aug
vs Nancy
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Dijon
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Annecy
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Real Unión
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Real Sociedad II
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sochaux – last 6
DWDLDL
28 Aug
@ Clermont Foot
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs Guingamp
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ RED Star FC 93
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Saint Etienne
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Auxerre
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Dijon
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAU and Sochaux.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win PAU vs Sochaux?
On our numbers PAU have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sochaux 36%.
How many goals will there be in PAU vs Sochaux?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAU vs Sochaux?
Our predicted score is PAU 1–0 Sochaux, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is PAU vs Sochaux?
PAU vs Sochaux (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Nouste Camp.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
