Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
1
Value bet: Nantes to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNantes to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.16
Nantes vs Nancy preview and prediction
The match
Nantes host Nancy in the Ligue 2 on Monday 7 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade de la Beaujoire. Nantes are 14th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Nancy sit 2nd on 25 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nantes's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Guingamp 3–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Nancy's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Dunkerque 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nancy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Nantes and 0.9 for Nancy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nantes 58%, draw 20%, Nancy 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Nantes to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nantes 1–1 Nancy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nantes58%fair 1.74 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.30
Nancy23%fair 4.41 · @3.80
2.63Expected goals
1.70Nantes xG
0.93Nancy xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Nantes 1.7 – 0.9 Nancy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win✓
58%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantes / FT Nantes✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.16
–
Form
Nantes – last 6
DLLLWL
29 Aug
@ Guingamp
3–3
D
22 Aug
vs Rodez
2–5
L
14 Aug
@ Laval
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
5–1
W
25 Jul
@ Le Mans
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nancy – last 6
WWLDDD
28 Aug
vs Dunkerque
2–0
W
21 Aug
@ PAU
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Montpellier
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Boulogne
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Dijon
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Epinal
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nantes and Nancy.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Nantes vs Nancy?
On our numbers Nantes have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nancy 23%.
How many goals will there be in Nantes vs Nancy?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nantes vs Nancy?
Our predicted score is Nantes 1–1 Nancy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nantes vs Nancy?
Nantes vs Nancy (Ligue 2) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Beaujoire.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.