Value bet: Guingamp to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNantes to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Guingamp vs Nantes preview and prediction
The match
Guingamp host Nantes in the Ligue 2 on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stade de Roudourou. Guingamp are 11th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Nantes sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Guingamp's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Sochaux 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nantes's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Rodez 2–5 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Guingamp and 1.4 for Nantes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guingamp 38%, draw 23%, Nantes 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Guingamp to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Guingamp 1–1 Nantes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guingamp38%fair 2.62 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Nantes39%fair 2.57 · @2.25
2.69Expected goals
1.34Guingamp xG
1.36Nantes xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Guingamp 1.3 – 1.4 Nantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win✗
39%
2.57
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantes / FT Nantes✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Form
Guingamp – last 6
LWLDLL
21 Aug
@ Sochaux
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Boulogne
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Metz
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Lorient
0–2
L
22 Jul
vs Concarneau
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nantes – last 6
LLLWLD
22 Aug
vs Rodez
2–5
L
14 Aug
@ Laval
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
5–1
W
25 Jul
@ Le Mans
0–1
L
22 Jul
vs La Roche VF
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guingamp and Nantes.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Guingamp vs Nantes?
On our numbers Guingamp have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nantes 39%.
How many goals will there be in Guingamp vs Nantes?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guingamp vs Nantes?
Our predicted score is Guingamp 1–1 Nantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Guingamp vs Nantes?
Guingamp vs Nantes (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Roudourou.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
