Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Saint Etienne to win @ 1.85 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaint Etienne to win ✓65% · @1.85
Double chanceSaint Etienne or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.57
Dijon vs Saint Etienne preview and prediction
The match
Saint Etienne travel to Stade Gaston Gerard in the Ligue 2 on Monday 31 August (19:45 WAT) to face Dijon. Dijon are 6th with 18 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Saint Etienne sit 1st on 28 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Dijon's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Clermont Foot 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Saint Etienne's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Grenoble 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Saint Etienne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Dijon and 1.9 for Saint Etienne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dijon 15%, draw 20%, Saint Etienne 65%.
Safer route: Saint Etienne or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Saint Etienne to win at 1.85 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Saint Etienne or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dijon 0–1 Saint Etienne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dijon15%fair 6.61 · @3.90
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.40
Saint Etienne65%fair 1.53 · @1.85
2.67Expected goals
0.76Dijon xG
1.91Saint Etienne xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Dijon 0.8 – 1.9 Saint Etienne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win✓
65%
1.53
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Saint Etienne or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Saint Etienne ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.57
–
Form
Dijon – last 6
DLDDWW
21 Aug
@ Clermont Foot
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs PAU
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Montpellier
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Nancy
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Sochaux
3–0
W
22 Jul
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Saint Etienne – last 6
WWWWWL
22 Aug
vs Grenoble
4–0
W
14 Aug
vs Clermont Foot
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Sochaux
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Venezia
4–3
W
29 Jul
vs Lausanne
4–0
W
22 Jul
@ Rangers
1–2
L
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dijon and Saint Etienne.
What is the prediction for Dijon vs Saint Etienne?
Our pick is Saint Etienne or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dijon vs Saint Etienne?
On our numbers Dijon have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Saint Etienne 65%.
How many goals will there be in Dijon vs Saint Etienne?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dijon vs Saint Etienne?
Our predicted score is Dijon 0–1 Saint Etienne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dijon vs Saint Etienne?
Dijon vs Saint Etienne (Ligue 2) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston Gerard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
