Eredivisie · Netherlands · Stadion Galgenwaard
Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Utrecht 1.9 – 1.8 NEC Nijmegen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Utrecht have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. NEC Nijmegen have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.7 goals (1.9 for Utrecht, 1.8 for NEC Nijmegen). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (8%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.44.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Utrecht to win ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.11 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | 1.73 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 35% | 2.86 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Utrecht / FT Utrecht ✗ | 26% | 3.89 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.28 | – |
Form
Utrecht – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Telstar | 2–4 | L |
| 29 Oct | @ Kozakken Boys | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs PEC Zwolle | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Twente | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Willem II | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Feyenoord | 0–5 | L |
NEC Nijmegen – last 6
| 5 Nov | vs Omonia Nicosia | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Oct | @ Heerenveen | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Groningen | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Oct | @ Dinamo Zagreb | 4–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Fortuna Sittard | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Oct | vs Levski Sofia | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 12 | +25 | 26 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 12 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 |  Ajax | 12 | +17 | 25 |
| 4 |  Twente | 12 | +18 | 24 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 12 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Heerenveen | 12 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 12 | -13 | 12 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 12 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 12 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 12 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | -29 | 3 |
More Eredivisie predictions
League hub →Heerenveen5
Feyenoord3
2Feyenoord to win
66%@1.70
✗
FT
Twente2
Ajax2
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
68%@1.40
✓
FT
Cambuur2
PSV Eindhoven5
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
77%@1.25
✓
FT
AZ Alkmaar4
Groningen3
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
69%@1.40
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
On our numbers Utrecht have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NEC Nijmegen 36%.
How many goals will there be in Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
When is Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Galgenwaard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.