Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: PEC Zwolle to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPEC Zwolle to win ✗51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle preview and prediction
The match
The Eredivisie sees Willem II take on PEC Zwolle on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Koning Willem II Stadion. Willem II are 18th with 3 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while PEC Zwolle sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Willem II's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to PSV Eindhoven 0–7 away. They average 1.3 scored and 3.8 conceded.
PEC Zwolle's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat ADO Den Haag 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
PEC Zwolle arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.4 for Willem II and 2.0 for PEC Zwolle. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Willem II 28%, draw 21%, PEC Zwolle 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.50.
Value angle: PEC Zwolle to win at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Willem II 1–2 PEC Zwolle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Willem II28%fair 3.57 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.60
PEC Zwolle51%fair 1.95 · @2.10
3.44Expected goals
1.43Willem II xG
2.01PEC Zwolle xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–19%
2–27%
2–17%
0–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Willem II 1.4 – 2.0 PEC Zwolle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PEC Zwolle to win✗
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.53
Half-time result
PEC Zwolle ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PEC Zwolle / FT PEC Zwolle✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.81
–
Form
Willem II – last 6
LWLLLL
31 Oct
@ PSV Eindhoven
0–7
L
27 Oct
@ Helmond Sport
4–3
W
24 Oct
vs Cambuur
1–6
L
17 Oct
@ Sparta Rotterdam
2–3
L
11 Oct
@ Utrecht
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Fortuna Sittard
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle – last 6
WLDWLL
1 Nov
vs ADO Den Haag
1–0
W
28 Oct
vs FC OSS
1–2
L
24 Oct
@ Utrecht
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs GO Ahead Eagles
4–1
W
11 Oct
vs Cambuur
0–1
L
18 Sep
@ Groningen
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Willem II and PEC Zwolle.
What is the prediction for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
On our numbers Willem II have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and PEC Zwolle 51%.
How many goals will there be in Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Our predicted score is Willem II 1–2 PEC Zwolle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
