Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Cambuur to win @ 2.50 – our chance 47% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCambuur to win ✓47% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.09
Willem II vs Cambuur preview and prediction
The match
Willem II host Cambuur in the Eredivisie on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 17:45 (WAT) at Koning Willem II Stadion. Willem II are 18th with 3 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Cambuur sit 10th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Willem II's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cambuur's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with AZ Alkmaar 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cambuur arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.7 for Willem II and 2.1 for Cambuur. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Willem II 33%, draw 21%, Cambuur 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Cambuur to win at 2.50 – 47% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Willem II 1–2 Cambuur. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Willem II33%fair 3.07 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.50
Cambuur47%fair 2.13 · @2.50
3.83Expected goals
1.73Willem II xG
2.10Cambuur xG
67%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Willem II 1.7 – 2.1 Cambuur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cambuur to win✓
47%
2.13
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Cambuur ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cambuur / FT Cambuur✓
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.09
–
Form
Willem II – last 6
LLLLDL
17 Oct
@ Sparta Rotterdam
2–3
L
11 Oct
@ Utrecht
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Fortuna Sittard
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Ajax
1–5
L
11 Sep
@ AZ Alkmaar
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Excelsior
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cambuur – last 6
DWDWDL
18 Oct
vs AZ Alkmaar
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ PEC Zwolle
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ ADO Den Haag
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs NEC Nijmegen
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Telstar
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Twente
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Willem II and Cambuur.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Willem II vs Cambuur?
On our numbers Willem II have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cambuur 47%.
How many goals will there be in Willem II vs Cambuur?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs Cambuur?
Our predicted score is Willem II 1–2 Cambuur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Willem II vs Cambuur?
Willem II vs Cambuur (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
