Double chanceSparta Rotterdam or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II preview and prediction
The match
Willem II travel to Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel in the Eredivisie on Saturday 17 October (20:00 WAT) to face Sparta Rotterdam. Sparta Rotterdam are 12th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Willem II sit 18th on 3 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sparta Rotterdam's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with GO Ahead Eagles 3–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Willem II's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Utrecht 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.6 for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.4 for Willem II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 75% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sparta Rotterdam 63%, draw 19%, Willem II 19%.
Safer route: Sparta Rotterdam or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 Willem II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sparta Rotterdam63%fair 1.59 · @1.60
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @4.00
Willem II19%fair 5.40 · @4.75
3.94Expected goals
2.57Sparta Rotterdam xG
1.37Willem II xG
69%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Sparta Rotterdam 2.6 – 1.4 Willem II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Rotterdam to win✓
63%
1.59
1.60
Double chance
Sparta Rotterdam or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Sparta Rotterdam ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Rotterdam / FT Sparta Rotterdam✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Form
Sparta Rotterdam – last 6
DLLDLD
10 Oct
@ GO Ahead Eagles
3–3
D
19 Sep
vs Heerenveen
0–4
L
13 Sep
@ PSV Eindhoven
1–4
L
4 Sep
vs PEC Zwolle
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Excelsior
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Utrecht
3–3
D
1.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Willem II – last 6
LLLDLD
11 Oct
@ Utrecht
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Fortuna Sittard
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Ajax
1–5
L
11 Sep
@ AZ Alkmaar
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Excelsior
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs Heerenveen
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Rotterdam and Willem II.
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
On our numbers Sparta Rotterdam have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Willem II 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
Our predicted score is Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 Willem II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
