Eredivisie · Netherlands · Stadion GalgenwaardUtrecht vs Willem II prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Utrecht 3.0 – 1.4 Willem II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Utrecht are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 11% for Willem II.
Utrecht have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 3.7 per game. Willem II have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.7 conceded.
We expect around 4.4 goals (3.0 for Utrecht, 1.4 for Willem II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (8%), 3–1 (8%), 4–1 (6%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is better than our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Utrecht to win ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Utrecht or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 67% | 1.48 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 93% | 1.07 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Half-time result | Utrecht ahead at half-time ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Utrecht / FT Utrecht ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.77 | – |
Form
Utrecht – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Feyenoord | 0–5 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Excelsior | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs GO Ahead Eagles | 3–3 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs PSV Eindhoven | 1–6 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Sparta Rotterdam | 3–3 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs AZ Alkmaar | 1–4 | L |
Willem II – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Fortuna Sittard | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Sep | @ Ajax | 1–5 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ AZ Alkmaar | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Excelsior | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Heerenveen | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs NEC Nijmegen | 1–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Utrecht and Willem II.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 12 | +25 | 26 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 12 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 |  Ajax | 12 | +17 | 25 |
| 4 |  Twente | 12 | +18 | 24 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 12 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Heerenveen | 12 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 12 | -13 | 12 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 12 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 12 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 12 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | -29 | 3 |
More Eredivisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Utrecht vs Willem II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Utrecht vs Willem II?
On our numbers Utrecht have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Willem II 11%.
How many goals will there be in Utrecht vs Willem II?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
When is Utrecht vs Willem II?
Utrecht vs Willem II (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Galgenwaard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.