PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen preview and prediction
The match
PSV Eindhoven host Heerenveen in the Eredivisie on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Philips Stadion. PSV Eindhoven are 1st with 26 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Heerenveen sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
PSV Eindhoven's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Twente 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game.
Heerenveen's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
PSV Eindhoven arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.6 for PSV Eindhoven and 1.2 for Heerenveen. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was PSV Eindhoven to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Heerenveen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PSV Eindhoven68%fair 1.47 · @1.22
Draw15%fair 6.55 · @6.50
Heerenveen16%fair 6.06 · @8.50
3.86Expected goals
2.63PSV Eindhoven xG
1.23Heerenveen xG
66%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: PSV Eindhoven 2.6 – 1.2 Heerenveen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSV Eindhoven to win✓
68%
1.47
1.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSV Eindhoven / FT PSV Eindhoven✓
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.16
–
Form
PSV Eindhoven – last 6
LWDWWW
20 Sep
@ Twente
2–3
L
13 Sep
vs Sparta Rotterdam
4–1
W
10 Sep
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Ajax
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Utrecht
6–1
W
23 Aug
vs Groningen
5–1
W
3.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Heerenveen – last 6
WDLDLD
19 Sep
@ Sparta Rotterdam
4–0
W
13 Sep
vs Telstar
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs AZ Alkmaar
2–3
L
30 Aug
@ Willem II
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs PEC Zwolle
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Ajax
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSV Eindhoven and Heerenveen.
What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
Our pick is PSV Eindhoven to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
On our numbers PSV Eindhoven have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Heerenveen 16%.
How many goals will there be in PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
Our predicted score is PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Heerenveen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Philips Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
