Telstar travel to AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar） in the Eredivisie on Sunday 20 September (13:30 WAT) to face AZ Alkmaar. AZ Alkmaar are 5th with 23 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Telstar sit 16th on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
AZ Alkmaar's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Sunderland 0–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Telstar's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Heerenveen 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
AZ Alkmaar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 March 2026, finished AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Telstar.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.4 for AZ Alkmaar and 0.9 for Telstar. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AZ Alkmaar 69%, draw 21%, Telstar 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AZ Alkmaar to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Telstar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AZ Alkmaar69%fair 1.45 · @1.22
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @6.00
Telstar10%fair 9.54 · @9.50
3.25Expected goals
2.37AZ Alkmaar xG
0.88Telstar xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: AZ Alkmaar 2.4 – 0.9 Telstar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is AZ Alkmaar to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
On our numbers AZ Alkmaar have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Telstar 10%.
How many goals will there be in AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
Our predicted score is AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Telstar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
