Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGroningen to win ✓68% · @1.62
Double chanceGroningen or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Groningen vs PEC Zwolle preview and prediction
The match
PEC Zwolle travel to Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion in the Eredivisie on Friday 18 September (19:00 WAT) to face Groningen. Groningen are 9th with 15 points from 12 games (in the top half), while PEC Zwolle sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Groningen's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with GO Ahead Eagles 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
PEC Zwolle's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Feyenoord 0–7 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Groningen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished PEC Zwolle 1–1 Groningen.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.8 for Groningen and 1.2 for PEC Zwolle. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Groningen to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Groningen 2–1 PEC Zwolle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Groningen68%fair 1.48 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @4.00
PEC Zwolle13%fair 7.95 · @4.60
4.00Expected goals
2.77Groningen xG
1.23PEC Zwolle xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–06%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Groningen 2.8 – 1.2 PEC Zwolle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?
Our pick is Groningen to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?
On our numbers Groningen have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and PEC Zwolle 13%.
How many goals will there be in Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?
Our predicted score is Groningen 2–1 PEC Zwolle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?
Groningen vs PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
