Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAjax to win ✓67% · @1.40
Double chanceAjax or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax preview and prediction
The match
Fortuna Sittard host Ajax in the Eredivisie on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion. Fortuna Sittard are 7th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Ajax sit 3rd on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Fortuna Sittard's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat ADO Den Haag 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Ajax's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to PSV Eindhoven 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.2 for Fortuna Sittard and 2.6 for Ajax. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Ajax. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortuna Sittard16%fair 6.38 · @6.00
Draw17%fair 5.73 · @4.60
Ajax67%fair 1.50 · @1.40
3.78Expected goals
1.20Fortuna Sittard xG
2.58Ajax xG
66%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–28%
1–17%
0–37%
0–16%
From our goals model: Fortuna Sittard 1.2 – 2.6 Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ajax to win✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Double chance
Ajax or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Ajax ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ajax / FT Ajax✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.97
–
Form
Fortuna Sittard – last 6
WWLWDW
6 Sep
@ ADO Den Haag
3–2
W
28 Aug
@ Groningen
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs AZ Alkmaar
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Cambuur
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ PSV Eindhoven
2–2
D
31 Jul
vs Apoel Nicosia
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ajax – last 6
LWWWDD
5 Sep
vs PSV Eindhoven
1–3
L
30 Aug
@ Telstar
4–0
W
27 Aug
vs FC Sion
5–3
W
20 Aug
@ FC Sion
4–2
W
16 Aug
vs Heerenveen
2–2
D
13 Aug
@ Shelbourne
2–2
D
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortuna Sittard and Ajax.
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
On our numbers Fortuna Sittard have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ajax 67%.
How many goals will there be in Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
Our predicted score is Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
